MMA DFS GPP Strategy

Chasing Glory: Strategies for GPP MMA DFS Lineups

In Guaranteed Prize Pool (GPP) contests, the goal is to build a lineup with the highest possible ceiling, aiming for a top finish to win substantial prizes. In MMA DFS, this means focusing on upside and uniqueness.

General Strategy:

1. Avoid Stacking Fights:

• Never play both fighters from a single fight. In GPPs, your goal is to maximize points, and stacking limits your ceiling.

2. Target High-Ceiling Fighters:

• Look for fighters who can score big even if they are inconsistent. A fighter who loses often but scores high in wins is ideal for GPPs.

3. Create Unique Lineups:

Leave Salary on the Table: Use $47,200-$49,800 of the DraftKings salary. This makes your lineup unique.

Play Low-Owned Fighters: Include 1-2 fighters with less than 20% ownership. This helps differentiate your lineup from the field.

Fade the Main Event: Main event fighters are over-owned. Fading the main event can create unique lineups and reduce ownership overlap.

DraftKings Strategy:

1. Utilize Line Movement:

• Identify fighters whose odds have significantly improved. These fighters offer value and can be lower owned.

2. Mix Ownership Levels:

• Combine high-owned, high-ceiling fighters with lower-owned, high-upside fighters. This blend maximizes your chances of a unique, high-scoring lineup.

FanDuel Strategy:

1. Look for Mispriced Fighters:

• FanDuel’s pricing structure can leave some fighters underpriced. Target these fighters to maximize your lineup’s potential.

2. Maximize Favorites:

• Fit as many favorites priced at $15-$18 as possible. These fighters offer the best chances of scoring high.

General Tips:

Focus on Upside: Look for fighters with the potential to score big, even if they are risky.

Create Unique Lineups: Leave salary on the table, play low-owned fighters, and consider fading the main event.

Monitor Ownership Trends: Stay updated on fighter ownership to ensure your lineup is unique.

By following these strategies, you can build a high-ceiling lineup that maximizes your chances of a top finish in GPP contests.

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