DupeChance estimates the likelihood that a lineup will be duplicated at least five times in a contest. In Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS), particularly in formats like Showdown or small-slate contests, understanding DupeChance is vital for identifying lineups that are likely to be shared by many other players.
Why It Matters
• High DupeChance (100% or higher):
A high DupeChance indicates that the lineup is popular and likely to be duplicated by multiple participants. While such lineups may perform well, they often result in “chopped” payouts, where winnings are shared among players with identical lineups, reducing the individual prize.
• Low DupeChance (less than 100%):
A low DupeChance suggests the lineup is more unique, providing an edge in GPPs (Guaranteed Prize Pool tournaments). Unique lineups minimize duplication, maximizing the potential for larger, more exclusive payouts.
How to Use It
The probability reflected in DupeChance directly correlates with the likelihood of lineup duplication: the higher the percentage, the more likely a lineup will be widely duplicated; the lower the percentage, the less likely it is to occur.
By leveraging DupeChance, you can strategically avoid overly duplicated lineups, enhancing your chances of securing a larger payout with minimal sharing in contests.
